Monday 8 June 2009

Two Weeks To Build For The Title.


There are two weeks to go until the transfer window opens, and possibly one signing may arrive before the window opens. This is a step in the right direction, but considering we are likely to buy a player from abroad, they need at least 1 month to sort their personal lives out, so signings must be closed in now, it is nearly 1 month away from our first pre-season friendly, we return to training a week before this match. Gazidis and Wenger, sort the ins and outs ASAP so we know the team before pre-season, other clubs in Germany-Italy-Spain have already done the bulk of their improvements, we need a lot of improvements.

However the main idea i have, can Arsenal win the title? Statistically, in the last 3 seasons, the minimum threshold for the title is 27 wins, Manchester United have had 28 wins in two of the three. In that same time, Arsenal have had 19-24-20 wins, this shows there is still a lot of room for improvement. To achieve those 27 wins, we may need to beat all the teams 10-20 in the table twice to get 20, and then beat teams 7-9 twice and maybe 1 win against the other rivals to make the 28 wins.

Even then, that may not be enough. We draw far too many games as well, 11-11-12 draws in the last 3 seasons. When you look at Arsenal's chances of being domestic champions using these figures, you can see it is a big ask and improbable. Even if we buy 3-4 more players, i am not sure we have the cutting edge and stamina to last a 38 gruelling campaign.

No comments: